Inflation in Pakistan: Rates, Causes, Effects & History (2026)

Pakistan Economy

Inflation in Pakistan: Rates, Causes, Effects & History (2026)

Pakistan’s inflation story — from the record 38% peak of May 2023 to today’s 10.3% — explained with fresh PBS data: what’s driving prices, what it costs households, and where it’s headed.

Last updated: 11 October 2026

Quick answer: Pakistan’s inflation (CPI) was 10.3% year-on-year in September 2026 (PBS), down from 11.1% in August but nearly double the 5.8% of September 2025. Prices rose 1.3% in the month — led by electricity (+15.3%) and motor fuel (+10.8%). The State Bank’s policy rate stands at 11.50%. Twelve guides below cover the current rate, causes, effects, food and fuel prices, and the full history.

The Latest Data

Inflation Right Now: September 2026

PBS released the September figures on 1 October 2026. The yearly rate eased — but monthly bills kept climbing.

10.3%

CPI YoY, September 2026 (PBS)

+1.3%

Month-on-month rise

11.5%

SBP policy rate

Rs 398

Petrol per litre (10 Oct)

MeasureSep 2026Aug 2026Sep 2025
National CPI (YoY)10.3%11.1%5.8%
National CPI (MoM)+1.3%+1.2%+2.1%
Urban CPI (YoY)10.1%10.4%5.7%
Rural CPI (YoY)10.5%12.2%5.9%
Core inflation — urban8.6%8.8%7.0%
Core inflation — rural8.1%8.5%7.8%
WPI (YoY)13.3%11.8%0.6%
Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics, Monthly Review of Price Indices, September 2026 (released 1 Oct 2026). SBP’s medium-term inflation target is 5–7%.

The Guides

Twelve Inflation Guides

From the current rate to the 38% record — every guide built on PBS and SBP data.

%

Inflation Rate in Pakistan

The current rate explained: CPI, core, SPI and what each measure means.

2024

Inflation in Pakistan 2024

The great disinflation: from 29% to single digits in a year.

2023

Inflation Rate in Pakistan 2023

The record 38% peak of May 2023 — causes and fallout.

2025

Inflation in Pakistan 2025

Single digits return — then the 2026 energy shock.

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Causes of Inflation

Fuel, rupee, food, energy tariffs: what actually drives prices.

Rs

Effects of Inflation

What 10%+ inflation does to households, wages and business.

⇆

Food Inflation

Onions, wheat, atta, chicken: the kitchen-budget squeeze.

⛽

Petrol Price & Inflation

Rs 398/litre: how fuel prices feed every other price.

⚡

Electricity Prices

Power tariffs up 32% in a year: the bills behind the CPI.

SBP

SBP Policy Rate

11.50%: how interest rates fight inflation — and the trade-off.

📈

Inflation History

2018–2026 timeline: every peak, every crash, every lesson.

i

What Is Inflation?

CPI, core, SPI, WPI explained in plain language.

The Story

From 38% to 10%: How Pakistan Got Here

Four phases of Pakistan’s inflation rollercoaster.

2022 – May 2023

The climb to 38%

IMF-mandated fiscal tightening, rupee depreciation and global commodity prices pushed CPI to a record 38% in May 2023 — the highest since 1965. Food inflation topped 48% in cities. Full story →

Late 2023 – 2024

The great disinflation

Base effects, a stable rupee and SBP’s tight policy (rates peaked at 22%) dragged inflation from 29% to single digits by late 2024 — one of the fastest disinflations in Pakistan’s history. Full story →

2025

Single digits — briefly

Inflation hovered in single digits through 2025 as energy prices stayed calm and harvests were decent. The SBP began cutting rates. Then geopolitics intervened. Full story →

2026

The energy shock returns

The US–Iran war (Feb 2026) shut the Strait of Hormuz; petrol spiked to Rs 458/litre in April. Inflation re-entered double digits — 10.3% in September — with WPI at 13.3% signalling more pressure ahead. Full story →

Questions

Inflation in Pakistan FAQs

What is the current inflation rate in Pakistan?
10.3% year-on-year in September 2026 (PBS), down from 11.1% in August. Prices rose 1.3% in the month. Details in our inflation rate guide.
What was Pakistan’s highest ever inflation rate?
38% in May 2023 — the highest since 1965, driven by IMF-mandated adjustments, rupee depreciation and food prices. See 2023 in review.
What causes inflation in Pakistan?
Fuel prices, rupee depreciation, food supply shocks, and energy tariffs — explained in our causes guide.
What is the SBP policy rate?
11.50% (October 2026). See our policy rate guide.
What is the petrol price in Pakistan today?
Rs 398.30/litre (10–12 Oct 2026), diesel Rs 396.24 — under the daily pricing mechanism. See fuel & inflation.
Is inflation rising or falling in Pakistan?
The yearly rate eased to 10.3% in September 2026, but monthly momentum (+1.3%) and wholesale inflation (13.3%) point to continued pressure. See our history timeline.

Understand Every Rupee of It

Twelve guides on Pakistan’s inflation: the data, the drivers, the history.

Start with the Current Rate

Feature Pakistan’s economy desk compiles these guides from the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (pbs.gov.pk), the State Bank of Pakistan (sbp.org.pk) and OGRA notifications. Figures are revised with each release — check the linked guides for the latest monthly data.